Nothing really that close to developing. Gold has some chance of rejecting off the daily highs and upper trend line tomorrow generating an s-wave for us to trade. All the other pairs need additional waves to develop the structure necessary. On smaller time frames of course its always possible to find structure and momentum cooperating nicely intra-day. These kind of quick small opportunities are obviously not observable very far in advance. Good Trading.

Today I decided to walk through the relationship between structure and momentum from first principles. The circular self-defining nature of many fundamental ideas in technical analysis shares in similarity with all fields that produce sense from nonsense. The first layer of sense we rest upon the raw facts and data of the world emerges only relatively. The edges of the system, or in the first few steps in building a system of understanding we cannot escape the circular and re

Hey, we are adjusting our strategy moving forward towards trading the higher quality opportunities exclusively. There are a series of conditions or signals we look for that add probability to the underlying movement. A certain collection of signals might be profitable on average but the best collection, which occurs rarely, are very profitable on average. Being restricted to trading 5% of our account limits the potential of these quality opportunities. There are many unequal

Hey, it's been a few weeks since ive posted here. Travel and other interests have taken up much of my time this last month. Trading has not been forgotten, in fact a direct consequence of my experiences nagivating the investor/capital allocator world has transformed how I think about currency markets. There are some new much simpler ideas (at least to me) that, from a first principles approach, builds a strategy that set-by-set that requires at no part any great understanding

Analysis of the eur/kiwi, bitcoin and crude for the coming week. Putting together a few simple ideas, aligning some probabilities and we find the nearby trade ideas for these pairs. Bitcoin closed a 6hr candle in an s-wave that, after acknowledging the risks associated from the lack of confirmation, we placed a small position on with the 2x leverage our traditional account provides. Many defi brokerage platforms offer up to 50x perhaps more. I might place a position on these