Hey, we are adjusting our strategy moving forward towards trading the higher quality opportunities exclusively. There are a series of conditions or signals we look for that add probability to the underlying movement. A certain collection of signals might be profitable on average but the best collection, which occurs rarely, are very profitable on average. Being restricted to trading 5% of our account limits the potential of these quality opportunities. There are many unequal

Hey, it's been a few weeks since ive posted here. Travel and other interests have taken up much of my time this last month. Trading has not been forgotten, in fact a direct consequence of my experiences nagivating the investor/capital allocator world has transformed how I think about currency markets. There are some new much simpler ideas (at least to me) that, from a first principles approach, builds a strategy that set-by-set that requires at no part any great understanding

Analysis of the eur/kiwi, bitcoin and crude for the coming week. Putting together a few simple ideas, aligning some probabilities and we find the nearby trade ideas for these pairs. Bitcoin closed a 6hr candle in an s-wave that, after acknowledging the risks associated from the lack of confirmation, we placed a small position on with the 2x leverage our traditional account provides. Many defi brokerage platforms offer up to 50x perhaps more. I might place a position on these

Building a single mental model that contains the full understanding of our strategy in a simple enough form to hold in our minds at once has proven to be difficult. I can't quite be sure if we fully intended this to have be our main goal for this year but looking back certainly it has been. Pragmatically there are other avenues we could have explored that would impact our trading results to a greater degree but we've always considered those to not be worth anything if we obta

There are some ideas that have been marching towards a synthesis - or at least that's been our agenda with them. Reconciling the differences between difference facets of our model into one more complete universal picture is slow going. Exactly how it is that it can be known beforehand that there are ideas ripe and waiting or that some future idea has ripened considerably even if we don't yet know what it will be is a mystery. In the wandering we've found some small edges with