Analysis of the eur/kiwi, bitcoin and crude for the coming week. Putting together a few simple ideas, aligning some probabilities and we find the nearby trade ideas for these pairs. Bitcoin closed a 6hr candle in an s-wave that, after acknowledging the risks associated from the lack of confirmation, we placed a small position on with the 2x leverage our traditional account provides. Many defi brokerage platforms offer up to 50x perhaps more. I might place a position on these

Building a single mental model that contains the full understanding of our strategy in a simple enough form to hold in our minds at once has proven to be difficult. I can't quite be sure if we fully intended this to have be our main goal for this year but looking back certainly it has been. Pragmatically there are other avenues we could have explored that would impact our trading results to a greater degree but we've always considered those to not be worth anything if we obta

There are some ideas that have been marching towards a synthesis - or at least that's been our agenda with them. Reconciling the differences between difference facets of our model into one more complete universal picture is slow going. Exactly how it is that it can be known beforehand that there are ideas ripe and waiting or that some future idea has ripened considerably even if we don't yet know what it will be is a mystery. In the wandering we've found some small edges with

Encountering the obvious limitations of our bottom-up momentum chasing strategy defines an edge that puts the strategy in some perspective. The further we move into either strategy to the exclusion of the other the more at risk we are for serious oversights. There is valuable information in our top-down approach unobtainable by even the most thorough and intelligence observation bottom-up. So today we're analyzing from top-down (I need to decide for proper terminology when re

The gold trade we found today is very instructive in a few ways. Firstly; the exact meaning and expression of the ideas may vary. We discovered only afterwards how accurate we were, able to look back and see which waves we expected to see and where they ended up being having moved out of time. Secondly; being nimble in taking a loss and keeping objectivity itself provides a huge opportunity. As its often the case when price unfolds in unexpected ways many people suffer losing